Wednesday, May 6, 2015

Fan Graphs and last nights game.

The Marlins won last night in what I would call the way they don't teach you to win a game and the image above brought to you by fangraphs.com is a great tool to see where the odds of the Marlins winning were at during any point of the game. The lower the line the better the odds were for the Marlins to win....

I want to harp more on the later innings especially after the Bryan Morris collapse of Monday night.

Bottom of the 7th with the score 2-1
Lead off walk to Wilson Ramos. According to fan graphs, that run scores 38 percent of the time and that little spike in the middle of the 7th shows the odds going down (up).
After one out Latos walks Uggla and we are now back at bad odds but Nick Masset comes in to the game and finishes off the 7th with a nifty play by Flash Gordon.

http://m.mlb.com/video/topic/8878534/v102752483

Bottom of the 8th with the score 2-1
Lead off walk to Denard Span a speedster. Again another 38 percent chance of scoring on base for the Nationals. Again the Marlins find a way to get out of the inning. This Houdini act....

Bottom of the 9th and Cishek in with score 2-1
Almost a lead off walk but a bloop single (it happens) but then the error by Hechavarria and its 1st and 2nd with no outs. Fan Graphs shows that spike there and actually had the game as a coin flip at that point! Thank goodness Dan Uggla can't bunt (or hit) and provided a perfect bunt to get an out at 3. At least he can cook a steak though!


Steve Cishek then turns into the Cishek of old and strikes out the last two batters to win the game... How do you even pull that one out of your butt Marlins?? I do not know but I am not offended. Marlins win 2-1, Latos gets his first Marlins win with his tattoos and weird hair cut, but I just saw his wife.... I will no longer make fun of him... Dallas Latos. That is all I have to say... 

Dallas Latos...

Rubber match today at 1:05... day baseball!


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